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Re: Will the Hype of Praefectus Die?

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snuddIes is not online. snuddIes
Joined: 13 May 2017
Total Posts: 199
06 Jun 2017 01:03 PM
Hi guys! New guy on the block here bringing ya'll a little of what my insight on 'praefectus' is.

Now as we all know, prae recently has became a limited, now contrast to popular belief, prae has actually much gone up in value post-sale. This was unexpected to many. Nonetheless, as every owner will remember to remind you, "It is a Dominus!".

Yes, truly the item is indeed a Dominus, and for the most part it is a affordable to many.

Now I hate to be the guy to tell you all great things come to an end, but I do not believe prae will hold its current value for very much longer, and there's a couple points I'll go over.

1) 1,200+ Sales
2) The way owners are coming about theirs.

Now to touch on that first point, 1,200 sales is typically quite good for a new limited item with such looks / demand / hype surrounding Praefectus. Look at sinister branches, sales didn't matter for that one did it? Now look at rosey smile, super super happy face, didn't matter for them either, did it?

The difference that distinguishes the two items is the price point. Prae is an over 100k item, while the rest are merely <10k items. The reason this matters is this will eliminate many hoarding possibilities, people won't on average be able to get more than five. Because of this it leaves a lot more possibility for the item to fall victim to a series of LPP's and low balls that might one day effect its value.

Now that's the most common and overheard complaint about the item, that everybody talks about. Now let me go over number two.

### #### owners are obtaining praefectus is NOT going to be maintained infinitely. Current owners are not original owners, meaning they gave a LOT more than what you or myself got it for, at the bargain 31k price. These owners are selling all of their items just to own the CHANCE of OWNING A DOMINUS, as they say. These owners don't make infinite or renewable income. Many owners are coming from the standard robloxian, the ones that own that valk+ type of item set.

Why does this matter?

What happens when the owners want something, new? They get tired of owning a dominus as they soon realize it doesn't bring in 'exactly' what they wanted, whether from recognition to any sort of status gain.

I don't think that Praefectus will live during this hype state forever, I believe it is soon to drop down to a more stable number of 80k, perhaps even lower. This whole movement really resembles of what happened with Ghosdeeri, remember when people were trading over 140k to get their hands on it? Then it dropped to a low demand pumpkin.

Of course, it WAS a pumpkin, but this is a DOMINUS, and I can be completely wrong.

This opinion was brought to you by snuddles.

TL:DR - bad owners and high price point mean this can be a disaster mid term. great long term still.


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Ghostism is online. Ghostism
Joined: 04 Jun 2013
Total Posts: 29117
06 Jun 2017 01:03 PM
no constantly getting 140k+ and still selling


https://www.roblox.com/Trade/TradeWindow.aspx?TradePartnerID=43403526
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snuddIes is not online. snuddIes
Joined: 13 May 2017
Total Posts: 199
06 Jun 2017 01:04 PM
Oh you didn't even read it did you? I was wondering where that no came from then I looked at the title. Haha


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Zetaris is not online. Zetaris
Joined: 10 Aug 2016
Total Posts: 7422
06 Jun 2017 01:05 PM
tl;dr


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snuddIes is not online. snuddIes
Joined: 13 May 2017
Total Posts: 199
06 Jun 2017 01:06 PM
There's a tl;dr section for you :D


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TheFeistyFox is not online. TheFeistyFox
Joined: 03 Nov 2009
Total Posts: 5047
06 Jun 2017 01:07 PM
Zetaris

Lmao he made a tl;dr version already
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Zetaris is not online. Zetaris
Joined: 10 Aug 2016
Total Posts: 7422
06 Jun 2017 01:07 PM
accurate prediction

I have prae as a long term investment so I'm good either way

+I only gave 88k for it when it went limited


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Ghostism is online. Ghostism
Joined: 04 Jun 2013
Total Posts: 29117
06 Jun 2017 01:08 PM
There aren't any bad owners
because all of them have taken the OP's


https://www.roblox.com/Trade/TradeWindow.aspx?TradePartnerID=43403526
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Necrotomy is not online. Necrotomy
Joined: 04 Jan 2009
Total Posts: 24389
06 Jun 2017 01:09 PM
you say 1.2k owners but theres less now because dont forget it came out 7 months ago, people have gone nbc, been deleted, quit roblox, or are just not trading theirs. theres a lot less than #### ## #### and that number will continue to go down over time. Praefectus's hype WILL die, but i think it will still have demand, and it certainly wont drop to 80k. chances are is will stablize not much higher than it is right now, and continue to slowly raise over time as the number of active owners naturally goes down
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HBJacob1 is online. HBJacob1
Joined: 08 Jul 2013
Total Posts: 20437
06 Jun 2017 01:09 PM
Hmm.


I'm keeping mine for long term...

I got offered cwhp+cf yesterday and people thought i was "faking offers"


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snuddIes is not online. snuddIes
Joined: 13 May 2017
Total Posts: 199
06 Jun 2017 01:09 PM
"There aren't any bad owners -- very broad point.
because all of them have taken the OP's" -- don't generalize the owners of praefectus like that.


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snuddIes is not online. snuddIes
Joined: 13 May 2017
Total Posts: 199
06 Jun 2017 01:11 PM
Necrotomy, love the post.

I do recognize the 1.2k owners is easily halved by inactivity / lack of bc / nft status.

But again it comes back to the price point, 140k is what people say it is I hear? That'll be a hard value to maintain with such plentiful stock remaining.

It's also not THAT old, haha.


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Necrotomy is not online. Necrotomy
Joined: 04 Jan 2009
Total Posts: 24389
06 Jun 2017 01:12 PM
It came out in mid-late october, it is now early june. thats 7-8 months



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snuddIes is not online. snuddIes
Joined: 13 May 2017
Total Posts: 199
06 Jun 2017 01:13 PM
Sorry, I just don't personally view 7-8 months as being a significant amount of time on ROBLOX.


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unloyalist is not online. unloyalist
Joined: 23 Jul 2012
Total Posts: 1586
06 Jun 2017 01:13 PM
I agree there's bad owners
and like someone mentioned they'll probably drop it once it once it goes up closer to 200k
(personally i'm probably getting rid of mine around 4th of July sale or something)

I dont think it'll drop down to 80k and be stable there, it'll at the least be over 100k somewhere and grow over time (slowly).


I love subway more than the average person..
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Necrotomy is not online. Necrotomy
Joined: 04 Jan 2009
Total Posts: 24389
06 Jun 2017 01:15 PM
its still plenty of time for at least 15-20% (if not more) of 1.2k to go nbc, quit, get deleted, etc.


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Necrotomy is not online. Necrotomy
Joined: 04 Jan 2009
Total Posts: 24389
06 Jun 2017 01:16 PM
i agree, if it reaches 200k too soon it will crash pretty hard, probably back to around 100-150


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Necrotomy is not online. Necrotomy
Joined: 04 Jan 2009
Total Posts: 24389
06 Jun 2017 01:16 PM
but hopefully owners will start acting sensible before that happens


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snuddIes is not online. snuddIes
Joined: 13 May 2017
Total Posts: 199
06 Jun 2017 01:17 PM
"its still plenty of time for at least 15-20% (if not more) of 1.2k to go nbc, quit, get deleted, etc."

I believe people that

1) managed to come up with 31k robux on their own
2) did buy robux in order to get the item
3) alternative routes of obtaining 31k pre limited

aren't your average users, and they DO INTEND to stay on for longer than 7-8 months. Yes true, many can be deleted, and nbc, but quit? Few and far between.


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Ghostism is online. Ghostism
Joined: 04 Jun 2013
Total Posts: 29117
06 Jun 2017 01:18 PM
Idc what happens to it when it hits 200k .3. it'll be off my acc b4 then
and the hype won't die anytime this week


https://www.roblox.com/Trade/TradeWindow.aspx?TradePartnerID=43403526
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Necrotomy is not online. Necrotomy
Joined: 04 Jan 2009
Total Posts: 24389
06 Jun 2017 01:18 PM
theres also a lot of people that barely managed to pull 31k together to get the gift in the ### ##### and dont intend on trading their precious dominus
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snuddIes is not online. snuddIes
Joined: 13 May 2017
Total Posts: 199
06 Jun 2017 01:19 PM
Replace 'lot' with 'few' and I'll agree :)


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Mattinz is online. Mattinz
Joined: 07 Dec 2011
Total Posts: 3512
06 Jun 2017 01:19 PM
i just hope itll eventually rise so i can get a sparkle time


Prae is nft unless i get sent any $tf
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Necrotomy is not online. Necrotomy
Joined: 04 Jan 2009
Total Posts: 24389
06 Jun 2017 01:20 PM
some


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snuddIes is not online. snuddIes
Joined: 13 May 2017
Total Posts: 199
06 Jun 2017 01:21 PM
Mattinz, long term, perhaps. But remember that sparkle times also have the potential to inflate with time. Meaning 260k value today for a $tf, can be 500k in 2 years.


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